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Lab 2H - Eyeballing Normal

Lab 2H - Eyeballing Normal

Directions: Follow along with the slides and answer the questions in bold font in your IDS Journal.

What's normal?

  • The normal distribution is a curve we often see in real data.

    – We see it in people's blood pressures and in measurement errors.

  • When data appears to be normally distributed, we can use the normal model to:

  • Simulate normally distributed data.

  • Easily compute probabilities.

  • In this lab, we'll look at some previous data sets to see if we can find data that are roughly normally distributed.

The normal distribution

  • The normal distribution is symmetric about the mean:

    – The mean is found in the very center of the distribution.

    – And the curve looks the same to the left of the mean as it does on the right.

  • Use the following to draw a normal distribution:

    plotDist('norm', mean = 0, sd = 1)
    

The mean and sd of it

  • To draw a normal curve, we need to know exactly 2 things:

    – The mean and sd.

  • The sd, or standard deviation, is a measure of spread that's similar to the MAD.

  • Which part of the normal curve changes when the value of the mean changes?

  • Which part of the normal curve changes when the value of the sd changes?

  • Hint: Try changing the mean and sd values in the plotDist function.

Finding normal distributions

  • Load the cdc data and use the histogram function to answer the following:

  • Based on what you know about these variables, which of the variables do you think have distributions that will look like the normal distribution?

    – Make histograms of these variables. Which ones look like the normal distribution?

    – Hint: To help answer this question, try including the option fit = "normal" in the histogram function. You might also try faceting by gender.

Using normal models

  • Data scientists like using normal models because it often resembles real data.

    – But not EVERYTHING is normally distributed.

  • As a data scientist in training, you must decide when a normal model seems appropriate.

    – No model is ever perfect 100% of the time.

    – If you choose a model, you should be able to justify why you chose it.

On your own

  • For each of the following, determine which, if any, appear to be normally distributed. Explain your reasoning:

    – The weight of people in our cdc data, faceted by gender.

    – The difference in mean weights between Males and Females for 500 random shuffles.

    – The difference in median weights between Males and Females for 500 random shuffles.